As of June 22, the market capitalization of the U.S. stock
market totaled $81 trillion, according to Deutsche Bank and Bloomberg. China is
a distant second at $16 trillion, followed by Japan at $9 trillion. Even China
stands in the shadow of just seven fast-growing U.S. firms—the so-called
Magnificent Seven—with a combined market capitalization of $22 trillion.
With the recent July 4th celebration of the 250th
anniversary of the signing of the Declaration of Independence in view, a
record-setting market, and a steady influx of foreign capital into the U.S.,
the story is especially timely.
|
Key
Index Returns |
||
|
|
June
2026 % |
YTD
% |
|
Dow
Jones Industrial Average |
2.5 |
8.9 |
|
Nasdaq
Composite |
-2.8 |
12.8 |
|
S&P
500 Index |
-1.1 |
9.6 |
|
Russell
2000 Index |
3.6 |
21.9 |
|
MSCI
World ex-USA** |
-0.3 |
7.6 |
|
MSCI
Emerging Markets** |
-1.7 |
22.7 |
|
Bloomberg
US Agg Total Return |
0.2 |
0.6 |
Source: Wall Street Journal, MSCI.com, Bloomberg,
MarketWatch
MTD returns: May 29, 2026—June 30, 2026
YTD returns: December 31, 2025–June 30, 2026
**in US dollars
Despite many challenges, it invites a closer look at why the
United States continues to hold such a dominant position in the global
financial system.
American exceptionalism
The “buy America” (or U.S.-centric investing) trade has been
powerful over the last 100+ years because the U.S. has combined economic scale,
institutional strength, innovation, abundant natural resources, and financial
market depth in a way no other modern country has consistently matched.
Let’s review some of the factors that have contributed to
U.S. leadership and dominance.
- Led
by strong population growth, productivity, immigration, human
capital, and abundant natural resources, the U.S. has been one of the
largest economies since the late 19th century and the largest for much of
the 20th and 21st centuries.
- The
U.S. is widely considered to have the most transparent and legally
protected capital markets in the world. Such protections—including the
rule of law and property rights—bolster global confidence in U.S. markets.
- Three separate
branches of government—so cleverly enshrined in the Constitution—help
prevent power from concentrating in the hands of a few, thereby protecting
liberties that many here take for granted, yet that have drawn immigrants
for generations.
- The U.S.
has dominated in innovation. Industrialization, aerospace and
manufacturing, computers, software, biotech, the internet, the cloud, and
now AI. Undoubtedly, other countries have made various products cheaper,
but the nation’s ability to innovate and lead in technology has created massive
wealth and numerous jobs.
- Deep,
liquid capital markets, combined with the dollar’s role as the world’s
reserve currency, consistently attract foreign capital to the United
States. This dynamic encourages overseas investors not only to park funds
in U.S. assets but also to commit to long-term investments.
However, there is an important caveat. The seemingly
unlimited demand for U.S. assets and Treasury bonds has also enabled the
country to run persistently large fiscal and current account deficits with
relatively little immediate consequence.
- Political
and military stability, the rule of law, and a strong democracy have
given rise to stable and strong institutions that bolster confidence at
home and abroad.
Compared with Europe and many emerging markets, the U.S.
avoided the devastation of a world war on its own soil, regime collapses, and
hyperinflation.
- A
pro-business environment and a shareholder-centric corporate model encourage
ownership. The goal of a corporation and its management is to maximize
shareholder wealth. It’s a principle that has come under attack, but it
has been beneficial to invesors.
It’s embodied in an entrepreneurial culture, a strong
venture capital system, stock-based compensation, stock buybacks, cash
dividends, and a desire to maximize corporate profits.
Prioritizing wealth creation supports healthy competition,
innovation, consumer choice, and job creation.
- Equally
important, though often underappreciated, is the strength of the
nation’s higher education system.
American universities attract many of the world’s top
students, researchers, and entrepreneurs, creating a steady pipeline of talent
that fuels innovation and the formation of new companies.
This diversity of talent reinforces the U.S. advantage in
technology, science, and business leadership, which ultimately feeds into
corporate earnings, wealth creation, and market performance.
Despite numerous advantages, America’s markets are not on
autopilot. We expect periodic pullbacks, bear markets, and periods of
underperformance.
America the beautiful
While our country is far from perfect and our founders were
flawed, America truly has been a grand experiment that has become the envy of
the world.
Foreign visitors to the FIFA World Cup are getting a
first-hand look at our country, without filters, and are singing the nation’s praises.
This Independence Day is extra special.
We celebrate the 250th anniversary of our nation’s birthday,
a milestone known as the Semi quincentennial. It doesn’t roll off the tongue as
the Bicentennial did 50 years ago, but its importance can’t be understated.
It is marked by the Second Continental Congress’ adoption of
the Declaration of Independence, which declared our independence from Great
Britain. Though written in a very different era, it remains a powerful symbol
of the nation’s identity.
The Declaration did far more than announce a political
separation; it articulated a bold vision of freedom, liberty, and
self-governance that continues to resonate across the globe.
Drafted primarily by Thomas Jefferson and adopted on July 4,
1776, the document proclaims that “…all men are created equal, that they are
endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are
Life, Liberty, and the pursuit of Happiness.”
These words heralded a new way of thinking, breaking
decisively from the traditions of monarchy and empire and laying the groundwork
for a philosophy that continues to inspire people today.
The Semi quincentennial invites both celebration and
reflection. It is a chance to appreciate the courage and bold vision of our
founders while recognizing the ongoing work required to realize the ideals that
they gave birth to.
As fireworks light the sky, we celebrate not only America’s
past but also its future. The challenges are real, but so are the
opportunities. The same spirit of optimism and determination that carried the
nation through its first 250 years remains alive today.
Happy 250th birthday, America! May the next chapter be as
bold, innovative, and inspiring as the last.


